FRES 1010: Baseball Statistics(Fall 2002)
Course Overview
This course will cover basic theory behind baseball statistics: Specific
topics include:
-
basic stats (e.g., batting average, RBI, ERA, wins/losses, home runs)
-
advanced offensive stats (e.g., OPS, linear weights, RC/27, zone ratings,
defense-independent pitching)
-
historical comparisons
-
predictive strategies
-
statistics-based strategy
Note that this document can be found at http://www.cs.uga.edu/~dkl/1010/Fall02/syllabus.html
Lectures: M 3:35-4:25pm
Offices: GSRC 219C and 219D, 542-9269 and 542-2737
Email: dkl@cs.uga.edu,
saw@cs.uga.edu
We are faculty members in the Computer
Science Department at the University of Georgia. Our main areas of
research are parallel and distributed computing, operating systems, and
compilers.
Office Hours: by appointment
Office hours will be by appointment, as this is a one unit course.
Reading
The required textbook for the course is Baseball Prospectus 2002
by
Sheehan et al. You should immediately order it or buy it. See
the BP website for
online ordering details.
This book is a good compromise between technical content and "fun" reading.
You will also need access to the internet as well as access to a
spreadsheet such as Excel.
Lectures
Class will consist of discussion more than lecture. Each class, a
student will make a brief presentation, and then we will supplement
this by leading a discussion.
Because class participation is vital in this course, you may not skip
class without being excused. If you have more than 1 absence that
is not excused by us, you will fail the class.
Grading
Grades will be assigned on a pass/fail basis. You will pass if you
satisfy the attendance requirement, make your presentation, participate
in class discussions,
and do your homework. We do not expect anyone to fail the course,
as you have probably signed up because you are interested in baseball
statistics. We hope the assignments will be interesting.
Class Schedule
A tentative class schedule follows:
| Week |
Topic |
| 1 |
Introduction, Survey, Overview |
| 2 |
OPS |
| 3 |
Advanced Hitting Stats (RC/27, linear weights, EQA) |
| 4 |
Value Stats |
| 5 |
Offensive Projections from minors to majors (MLE's) |
| 6 |
Historical Offensive Comparisons |
| 7 |
Offensive Strategy |
| 8 |
Overview of Defensive Stats |
| 9 |
Zone Rating, Fielding Average |
| 10 |
Overview of Pitching Stats, Relief Pitching |
| 11 |
Advanced Pitching Stats (Defensive Independent, etc) |
| 12 |
Predictions (team wins/losses, player performance) |
| 13 |
Hall of Fame |
| 14 |
Park Effects |
Withdrawals and Incompletes
You may drop the class during the first three days without an annotation
ending up on your transcript. Thereafter until the drop day, you may drop
the class with an annotation. An incomplete will only be considered
in a case where there is a documented medical evidence and you are
attending class.
Relevant Web Sites
Major League Baseball
Society for American Baseball Research (SABR)
Downloadable Historical Baseball Stats
Voros McCracken's page
Rob Neyer at ESPN.com
John Sickels
(minor league prospect analyst at ESPN.com)