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Uninhabited agents such as UAVs are assuming increasingly prominent roles in contemporary wartime theaters. As greater numbers of UAVs are deployed, there is a need to reduce its reliance on human operators and transfer greater autonomy in decision making.
Because UAVs may coexist with humans and human-controlled agents, computational models
of human decision making are needed. While several psychological models of judgment and
choice exist, these are not widely agreed upon. Building upon established theories, this research
will develop tractable and psychologically plausible models of human judgment under strategic
uncertainty. Three empirical studies will measure and validate probability assessment in tasks that
simulate those in operating theaters, and will provide data for formulating these models.
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